BATTER
SEA
Luke Raley
PITCHER
BOS
Connelly Early
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
LUKE
RALEY
VS
CONNELLY
EARLY
59SOLID
BOS @ SEA
RALEY
HNDLEFT
HR0/14 vLHP
SLG%.500
Brl/PA%10.0
AVG.240
HIT/G46/67
EARLY
LEFTHND
4/14 vLHBHR
.429SLG%
7.6Brl/PA%
3.64ERA
1.55HR/9
BOS PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Early65th %52nd %57th %54th %28th %
Bullpen57th %54th %70th %53rd %45th %
Raley BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs EARLY0
L3 vs BOS Bullpen2722.2%0.2220.0%0.0%
'26 vs LHP1711.8%0.1250.0%0.0%
'26 All Games21121.8%0.5006.6%5.2%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 36%
HR0
BA.288
SLG.678
HH%59%
wOBA.450
HR1
BA.215
SLG.473
HH%44%
wOBA.331
SinkerUSE 20%
HR0
BA.167
SLG.278
HH%47%
wOBA.189
HR0
BA.294
SLG.373
HH%37%
wOBA.357
ChangeupUSE 20%
HR0
BA.237
SLG.316
HH%25%
wOBA.265
HR1
BA.280
SLG.427
HH%51%
wOBA.327
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
BA.182
SLG.455
HH%80%
wOBA.300
HR1
BA.259
SLG.519
HH%28%
wOBA.395
SliderUSE 7%
HR0
BA.238
SLG.381
HH%60%
wOBA.304
HR1
BA.222
SLG.611
HH%50%
wOBA.448
SweeperUSE 6%
HR0
BA.214
SLG.500
HH%17%
wOBA.296
HR0
BA.160
SLG.160
HH%21%
wOBA.185

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

SEA batter · BOS pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+3.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
7/95 · 7.4%
Home/Home
6/166 · 3.6%
7/116 · 6.0%
Away/Away
8/185 · 4.3%
2/90 · 2.2%
Day/Day
4/107 · 3.7%
12/121 · 9.9%
Night/Night
10/244 · 4.1%
0/17 · 0.0%
vs L/vs L
4/92 · 4.3%
14/194 · 7.2%
vs R/vs R
10/259 · 3.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G2
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
vs
L 1-5100
04/22/25
@
L 3-8100
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
94/100
6.6% HR/PA on the season (14 HR in 211 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
60/100
Barrel 10.0% • HardHit 47.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
49/100
1.55 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .000 (17 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
65/100
Park index 110 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
46/100
2 HR in last 15 G (54 PA)

Batter Season

PA211
HR14
HR/PA6.6%
ISO.260
OPS0.801
Barrel%10.0%
HardHit%47.6%
Avg EV90.7 mph

Pitcher Season

IP81.2
ERA3.64
WHIP1.27
HR14
HR/91.55
K/98.71
BB/93.42
Barrel% Allowed7.6%
HardHit% Allowed42.3%

Head-to-Head

No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs LHP this season
17 PA · 0 HR · 0.250 OPS