DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
SEA
PITCHER
BOS
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
CONNOR
JOE
VS
CONNELLY
EARLY
39AVERAGE
BOS @ SEA
JOE
HNDRIGHT
HR1/1 vLHP
SLG%.308
Brl/PA%4.7
AVG.179
HIT/G7/21
EARLY
LEFTHND
10/14 vRHBHR
.429SLG%
7.6Brl/PA%
3.64ERA
1.55HR/9
| BOS Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Early | 65th % | 52nd % | 57th % | 54th % | 28th % |
| Bullpen | 57th % | 54th % | 70th % | 53rd % | 45th % |
| Joe Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs EARLY | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| L3 vs BOS Bullpen | 9 | 33.3% | 2.000 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| '26 vs LHP | 26 | 11.5% | 0.318 | 3.8% | 15.4% |
| '26 All Games | 45 | 15.6% | 0.308 | 2.2% | 13.3% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 36%
HR0
BA.111
SLG.111
HH%25%
wOBA.209
HR5
BA.215
SLG.473
HH%44%
wOBA.331
0
.111*
.111
25%
.209
4-Seam Fastball36%
SLG vs ref · 11 PA | 106 PA
5
.215
.473
44%
.331
SinkerUSE 20%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.375
HH%40%
wOBA.269
HR1
BA.294
SLG.373
HH%37%
wOBA.357
0
.250*
.375
40%
.269
Sinker20%
SLG vs ref · 8 PA | 61 PA
1
.294
.373
37%
.357
ChangeupUSE 20%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%50%
wOBA.140
HR2
BA.280
SLG.427
HH%51%
wOBA.327
0
.000*
.000
50%
.140
Changeup20%
SLG vs ref · 5 PA | 77 PA
2
.280
.427
51%
.327
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
BA.750
SLG.1500
HH%100%
wOBA.900
HR1
BA.259
SLG.519
HH%28%
wOBA.395
0
.750*
.1500
100%
.900
Curveball12%
SLG vs ref · 5 PA | 33 PA
1
.259
.519
28%
.395
SliderUSE 7%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%40%
wOBA.229
HR1
BA.222
SLG.611
HH%50%
wOBA.448
0
.000*
.000
40%
.229
Slider7%
SLG vs ref · 7 PA | 23 PA
1
.222
.611
50%
.448
SweeperUSE 6%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.350
HR0
BA.160
SLG.160
HH%21%
wOBA.185
0
.000*
.000
0%
.350
Sweeper6%
SLG vs ref · 2 PA | 27 PA
0
.160
.160
21%
.185
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
SEA batter · BOS pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 3/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+12.3%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
1/30 · 3.3%
VenueHome/Home
6/166 · 3.6%
0/15 · 0.0%
Away/Away
8/185 · 4.3%
0/23 · 0.0%
First PitchDay/Day
4/107 · 3.7%
1/22 · 4.5%
Night/Night
10/244 · 4.1%
1/26 · 3.8%
Matchupvs L/vs L
4/92 · 4.3%
0/19 · 0.0%
vs R/vs R
10/259 · 3.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G2
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/20/26 | vs | L 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 06/19/26 | vs | L 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
20/100
2.2% HR/PA on the season (1 HR in 45 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
42/100
Barrel 4.7% • HardHit 47.8%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
49/100
1.55 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
39/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .182 (26 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
65/100
Park index 110 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (28 PA)
Batter Season
PA45
HR1
HR/PA2.2%
ISO.129
OPS0.597
Barrel%4.7%
HardHit%47.8%
Avg EV92.8 mph
Pitcher Season
IP81.2
ERA3.64
WHIP1.27
HR14
HR/91.55
K/98.71
BB/93.42
Barrel% Allowed7.6%
HardHit% Allowed42.3%
Head-to-Head
No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs LHP this season
26 PA · 1 HR · 0.587 OPS