DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
SEA
PITCHER
BOS
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
JOSH
NAYLOR
VS
CONNELLY
EARLY
35AVERAGE
BOS @ SEA
0 HR/2 PA
NAYLOR
HNDLEFT
HR1/8 vLHP
SLG%.370
Brl/PA%3.9
AVG.253
HIT/G71/71
EARLY
LEFTHND
4/14 vLHBHR
.429SLG%
7.6Brl/PA%
3.64ERA
1.55HR/9
| BOS Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Early | 65th % | 52nd % | 57th % | 54th % | 28th % |
| Bullpen | 57th % | 54th % | 70th % | 53rd % | 45th % |
| Naylor Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs EARLY | 4 | 50.0% | 0.500 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| L3 vs BOS Bullpen | 45 | 20.0% | 0.231 | 0.0% | 13.3% |
| '26 vs LHP | 88 | 26.1% | 0.366 | 1.1% | 5.7% |
| '26 All Games | 308 | 23.1% | 0.370 | 2.6% | 7.5% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
4-Seam FastballUSE 36%
HR0
BA.291
SLG.494
HH%31%
wOBA.376
HR1
BA.215
SLG.473
HH%44%
wOBA.331
0
.291
.494
31%
.376
4-Seam Fastball36%
SLG vs ref · 88 PA | 106 PA
1
.215
.473
44%
.331
SinkerUSE 20%
HR0
BA.235
SLG.294
HH%46%
wOBA.258
HR0
BA.294
SLG.373
HH%37%
wOBA.357
0
.235
.294
46%
.258
Sinker20%
SLG vs ref · 54 PA | 61 PA
0
.294
.373
37%
.357
ChangeupUSE 20%
HR0
BA.242
SLG.242
HH%28%
wOBA.295
HR1
BA.280
SLG.427
HH%51%
wOBA.327
0
.242
.242
28%
.295
Changeup20%
SLG vs ref · 37 PA | 77 PA
1
.280
.427
51%
.327
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
BA.150
SLG.250
HH%40%
wOBA.170
HR1
BA.259
SLG.519
HH%28%
wOBA.395
0
.150
.250
40%
.170
Curveball12%
SLG vs ref · 20 PA | 33 PA
1
.259
.519
28%
.395
SliderUSE 7%
HR0
BA.184
SLG.289
HH%44%
wOBA.229
HR1
BA.222
SLG.611
HH%50%
wOBA.448
0
.184
.289
44%
.229
Slider7%
SLG vs ref · 40 PA | 23 PA
1
.222
.611
50%
.448
SweeperUSE 6%
HR1
BA.308
SLG.615
HH%50%
wOBA.430
HR0
BA.160
SLG.160
HH%21%
wOBA.185
1
.308
.615
50%
.430
Sweeper6%
SLG vs ref · 15 PA | 27 PA
0
.160
.160
21%
.185
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
SEA batter · BOS pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−0.4%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/152 · 2.0%
VenueHome/Home
6/166 · 3.6%
5/156 · 3.2%
Away/Away
8/185 · 4.3%
2/114 · 1.8%
First PitchDay/Day
4/107 · 3.7%
6/194 · 3.1%
Night/Night
10/244 · 4.1%
1/88 · 1.1%
Matchupvs L/vs L
4/92 · 4.3%
7/220 · 3.2%
vs R/vs R
10/259 · 3.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G2
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/20/26 | vs | L 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 06/19/26 | vs | L 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
27/100
2.6% HR/PA on the season (8 HR in 308 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
22/100
Barrel 3.9% • HardHit 38.1%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
49/100
1.55 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .086 (88 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
65/100
Park index 110 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
59/100
3 HR in last 15 G (64 PA)
Batter Season
PA308
HR8
HR/PA2.6%
ISO.117
OPS0.683
Barrel%3.9%
HardHit%38.1%
Avg EV87.8 mph
Pitcher Season
IP81.2
ERA3.64
WHIP1.27
HR14
HR/91.55
K/98.71
BB/93.42
Barrel% Allowed7.6%
HardHit% Allowed42.3%
Head-to-Head
PA2
AB2
H1
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.500
OPS1.000
Batter vs LHP this season
88 PA · 1 HR · 0.684 OPS