BATTER
SEA
Rob Refsnyder
PITCHER
BOS
Connelly Early
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
ROB
REFSNYDER
VS
CONNELLY
EARLY
34FADE
BOS @ SEA
REFSNYDER
HNDRIGHT
HR3/3 vLHP
SLG%.224
Brl/PA%4.6
AVG.133
HIT/G13/46
EARLY
LEFTHND
10/14 vRHBHR
.429SLG%
7.6Brl/PA%
3.64ERA
1.55HR/9
BOS PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Early65th %52nd %57th %54th %28th %
Bullpen57th %54th %70th %53rd %45th %
Refsnyder BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs EARLY0
L3 vs BOS Bullpen339.1%0.1110.0%18.2%
'26 vs LHP9112.1%0.2533.3%6.6%
'26 All Games11211.6%0.2242.7%6.3%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 36%
HR1
BA.152
SLG.242
HH%48%
wOBA.214
HR5
BA.215
SLG.473
HH%44%
wOBA.331
SinkerUSE 20%
HR0
BA.143
SLG.143
HH%33%
wOBA.179
HR1
BA.294
SLG.373
HH%37%
wOBA.357
ChangeupUSE 20%
HR1
BA.077
SLG.308
HH%30%
wOBA.227
HR2
BA.280
SLG.427
HH%51%
wOBA.327
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
BA.222
SLG.222
HH%25%
wOBA.250
HR1
BA.259
SLG.519
HH%28%
wOBA.395
SliderUSE 7%
HR0
BA.083
SLG.083
HH%33%
wOBA.075
HR1
BA.222
SLG.611
HH%50%
wOBA.448
SweeperUSE 6%
HR1
BA.333
SLG.1333
HH%33%
wOBA.567
HR0
BA.160
SLG.160
HH%21%
wOBA.185

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

SEA batter · BOS pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−8.0%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
1/60 · 1.7%
Home/Home
6/166 · 3.6%
2/52 · 3.8%
Away/Away
8/185 · 4.3%
3/31 · 9.7%
Day/Day
4/107 · 3.7%
0/81 · 0.0%
Night/Night
10/244 · 4.1%
3/91 · 3.3%
vs L/vs L
4/92 · 4.3%
0/21 · 0.0%
vs R/vs R
10/259 · 3.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G2
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
vs
L 1-5300
06/19/26
vs
L 2-6400
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
28/100
2.7% HR/PA on the season (3 HR in 112 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
19/100
Barrel 4.6% • HardHit 35.3%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
49/100
1.55 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .114 (91 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
65/100
Park index 110 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
32/100
1 HR in last 15 G (39 PA)

Batter Season

PA112
HR3
HR/PA2.7%
ISO.091
OPS0.431
Barrel%4.6%
HardHit%35.3%
Avg EV86.8 mph

Pitcher Season

IP81.2
ERA3.64
WHIP1.27
HR14
HR/91.55
K/98.71
BB/93.42
Barrel% Allowed7.6%
HardHit% Allowed42.3%

Head-to-Head

No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs LHP this season
91 PA · 3 HR · 0.473 OPS