BATTER
SEA
Josh Naylor
PITCHER
TEX
Jacob deGrom
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
JOSH
NAYLOR
VS
JACOB
DEGROM
22FADE
TEX @ SEA
0 HR/3 PA
NAYLOR
HNDLEFT
HR7/10 vRHP
SLG%.359
Brl/PA%3.4
AVG.265
HIT/G142/137
DEGROM
RIGHTHND
12/19 vLHBHR
.373SLG%
5.3Brl/PA%
3.80ERA
1.15HR/9
TEX PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: deGrom63rd %88th %97th %77th %54th %
Bullpen76th %60th %62nd %69th %86th %
Naylor BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs DEGROM2931.0%0.3460.0%10.3%
L3 vs TEX Bullpen11623.3%0.3272.6%5.2%
'26 vs RHP39223.0%0.3481.8%8.2%
'26 All Games58424.3%0.3591.7%7.0%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 42%
HR5
HR Rate5/168 3.0%
BA.307
SLG.444
HH%36%
wOBA.361
HR8
HR Rate8/228 3.5%
BA.273
SLG.502
HH%54%
wOBA.360
SliderUSE 36%
HR1
HR Rate1/73 1.4%
BA.183
SLG.254
HH%34%
wOBA.204
HR1
HR Rate1/242 0.4%
BA.164
SLG.240
HH%39%
wOBA.211
ChangeupUSE 13%
HR0
HR Rate0/70 0.0%
BA.161
SLG.161
HH%33%
wOBA.225
HR0
HR Rate0/57 0.0%
BA.228
SLG.263
HH%35%
wOBA.233
CurveballUSE 6%
HR0
HR Rate0/36 0.0%
BA.182
SLG.273
HH%38%
wOBA.238
HR2
HR Rate2/30 6.7%
BA.267
SLG.467
HH%47%
wOBA.313
SinkerUSE 3%
HR0
HR Rate0/111 0.0%
BA.301
SLG.369
HH%40%
wOBA.327
HR1
HR Rate1/22 4.5%
BA.333
SLG.667
HH%30%
wOBA.475

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

SEA batter · TEX pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−2.8%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
5/285 · 1.8%
Home/Home
8/305 · 2.6%
5/299 · 1.7%
Away/Away
11/296 · 3.7%
2/212 · 0.9%
Day/Day
1/158 · 0.6%
8/372 · 2.2%
Night/Night
18/443 · 4.1%
3/192 · 1.6%
vs L/vs L
12/359 · 3.3%
7/392 · 1.8%
vs R/vs R
7/242 · 2.9%
Avg0.0
HR0
G15
DateOppScoreABHHR
09/10/26
vs
W 4-3300
09/09/26
vs
W 3-2410
09/08/26
vs
L 5-10410
07/27/26
@
L 3-7410
07/26/26
@
W 6-4520
07/25/26
@
L 1-7300
07/24/26
@
L 4-5300
04/18/26
vs
W 7-3410
04/17/26
vs
L 0-5220
04/07/26
@
L 2-3400
04/06/26
@
L 1-2400
08/03/25
vs
W 5-4400
08/02/25
vs
L 4-6510
08/01/25
vs
W 4-3310
07/31/25
vs
W 6-0410
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
12/100
1.7% HR/PA on the season (10 HR in 584 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
15/100
Barrel 3.4% • HardHit 35.2%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
36/100
1.15 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
0/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .095 (392 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .000 AVG in 3 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
65/100
Park index 110 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (61 PA)

Batter Season

PA584
HR10
HR/PA1.7%
ISO.094
OPS0.681
Barrel%3.4%
HardHit%35.2%
Avg EV87.0 mph

Pitcher Season

IP149.1
ERA3.80
WHIP1.08
HR19
HR/91.15
K/911.21
BB/92.29
Barrel% Allowed5.3%
HardHit% Allowed44.9%

Head-to-Head

PA3
AB3
H0
HR0
BB0
K1
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs RHP this season
392 PA · 7 HR · 0.665 OPS