BATTER
STL
Nathan Church
PITCHER
CHC
David Peterson
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NATHAN
CHURCH
VS
DAVID
PETERSON
28FADE
CHC @ STL
1 HR/5 PA
CHURCH
HNDLEFT
HR2/8 vLHP
SLG%.359
Brl/PA%5.3
AVG.225
HIT/G59/87
PETERSON
LEFTHND
3/9 vLHBHR
.429SLG%
4.7Brl/PA%
5.97ERA
0.91HR/9
CHC PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Peterson11th %9th %34th %9th %76th %
Bullpen69th %63rd %63rd %68th %22nd %
Church BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs PETERSON1520.0%0.80020.0%0.0%
L3 vs CHC Bullpen120.0%0.0000.0%25.0%
'26 vs LHP6123.0%0.3753.3%4.9%
'26 All Games28121.0%0.3592.8%5.0%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward

SinkerUSE 29%
HR0
BA.207
SLG.310
HH%37%
wOBA.269
HR2
BA.284
SLG.474
HH%55%
wOBA.400
4-Seam FastballUSE 24%
HR0
BA.235
SLG.294
HH%42%
wOBA.276
HR0
BA.338
SLG.492
HH%27%
wOBA.397
SliderUSE 24%
HR0
BA.182
SLG.341
HH%25%
wOBA.227
HR1
BA.227
SLG.299
HH%42%
wOBA.239
ChangeupUSE 12%
HR1
BA.204
SLG.333
HH%29%
wOBA.239
HR0
BA.302
SLG.419
HH%29%
wOBA.370
CurveballUSE 11%
HR1
BA.286
SLG.524
HH%28%
wOBA.368
HR1
BA.289
SLG.526
HH%52%
wOBA.423

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

STL batter · CHC pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+2.5%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/132 · 2.3%
Home/Home
4/212 · 1.9%
5/149 · 3.4%
Away/Away
5/194 · 2.6%
4/116 · 3.4%
Day/Day
2/178 · 1.1%
4/165 · 2.4%
Night/Night
7/228 · 3.1%
2/61 · 3.3%
vs L/vs L
4/126 · 3.2%
6/220 · 2.7%
vs R/vs R
5/280 · 1.8%
Avg0.2
HR1
G5
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/05/26
@
L 4-6410
07/04/26
@
W 3-0200
07/03/26
@
W 17-1521
09/28/25
@
L 0-2310
09/27/25
@
L 3-7100
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
31/100
2.8% HR/PA on the season (8 HR in 281 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
16/100
Barrel 5.3% • HardHit 32.4%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.91 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
3/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .125 (61 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
75/100
1 HR, .200 AVG in 5 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
0/100
0 HR in last 15 G (37 PA)

Batter Season

PA281
HR8
HR/PA2.8%
ISO.134
OPS0.627
Barrel%5.3%
HardHit%32.4%
Avg EV86.0 mph

Pitcher Season

IP89.0
ERA5.97
WHIP1.56
HR9
HR/90.91
K/97.48
BB/93.84
Barrel% Allowed4.7%
HardHit% Allowed43.3%

Head-to-Head

PA5
AB5
H1
HR1
BB0
K0
AVG.200
OPS1.000
Batter vs LHP this season
61 PA · 2 HR · 0.658 OPS