DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
Back to CHC @ STL
BATTER
CHC
Michael Busch
PITCHER
STL
Matthew Liberatore
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
MICHAEL
BUSCH
VS
MATTHEW
LIBERATORE
36AVERAGE
CHC @ STL
1 HR/10 PA
BUSCH
HNDLEFT
HR3/13 vLHP
SLG%.405
Brl/PA%6.0
AVG.247
HIT/G96/104
LIBERATORE
LEFTHND
6/18 vLHBHR
.477SLG%
6.4Brl/PA%
5.18ERA
1.64HR/9
STL PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Liberatore21st %13th %55th %9th %20th %
Bullpen47th %41st %40th %60th %74th %
Busch BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs LIBERATORE3030.0%0.66710.0%0.0%
L3 vs STL Bullpen5123.5%0.5385.9%5.9%
'26 vs LHP13920.9%0.3952.2%13.7%
'26 All Games46820.5%0.4052.8%14.1%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 32%
HR0
BA.225
SLG.394
HH%41%
wOBA.332
HR1
BA.292
SLG.458
HH%42%
wOBA.374
SliderUSE 23%
HR1
BA.261
SLG.391
HH%32%
wOBA.331
HR5
BA.218
SLG.418
HH%47%
wOBA.301
CurveballUSE 17%
HR0
BA.304
SLG.348
HH%46%
wOBA.395
HR0
BA.186
SLG.488
HH%40%
wOBA.299
ChangeupUSE 15%
HR0
BA.173
SLG.231
HH%23%
wOBA.222
HR0
BA.304
SLG.393
HH%32%
wOBA.335
SinkerUSE 9%
HR1
BA.288
SLG.458
HH%48%
wOBA.435
HR0
BA.429
SLG.643
HH%62%
wOBA.522
CutterUSE 4%
HR0
BA.273
SLG.682
HH%50%
wOBA.443
HR0
BA.600
SLG.867
HH%40%
wOBA.641
Split-FingerUSE 1%
HR0
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%14%
wOBA.320
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.000
SweeperUSE 0%
HR1
BA.292
SLG.500
HH%45%
wOBA.374
HR0
BA.1000
SLG.1000
HH%0%
wOBA.900

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

CHC batter · STL pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 0/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−4.6%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
8/228 · 3.5%
Home/Home
9/222 · 4.1%
5/240 · 2.1%
Away/Away
9/215 · 4.2%
7/196 · 3.6%
Day/Day
10/171 · 5.8%
6/272 · 2.2%
Night/Night
8/266 · 3.0%
3/139 · 2.2%
vs L/vs L
6/106 · 5.7%
10/329 · 3.0%
vs R/vs R
12/331 · 3.6%
Avg0.5
HR9
G18
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/05/26
vs
W 6-4210
07/04/26
vs
L 0-3400
07/03/26
vs
L 1-17410
05/31/26
@
L 1-5420
05/30/26
@
W 6-1410
05/29/26
@
L 5-6530
09/28/25
vs
W 2-0300
09/27/25
vs
W 7-3442
09/26/25
vs
W 12-1321
08/10/25
@
L 2-3400
08/09/25
@
W 9-1521
08/08/25
@
L 0-5400
07/06/25
vs
W 11-0320
07/05/25
vs
L 6-8531
07/04/25
vs
W 11-3443
06/26/25
@
W 3-0421
06/25/25
@
W 8-0520
06/24/25
@
L 7-8400
Advertisement

Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
30/100
2.8% HR/PA on the season (13 HR in 468 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
33/100
Barrel 6.0% • HardHit 40.6%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
52/100
1.64 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
13/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .141 (139 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
1 HR, .333 AVG in 10 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
36/100
2 HR in last 15 G (70 PA)

Batter Season

PA468
HR13
HR/PA2.8%
ISO.158
OPS0.773
Barrel%6.0%
HardHit%40.6%
Avg EV88.5 mph

Pitcher Season

IP99.0
ERA5.18
WHIP1.52
HR18
HR/91.64
K/98.64
BB/93.45
Barrel% Allowed6.4%
HardHit% Allowed43.0%

Head-to-Head

PA10
AB9
H3
HR1
BB0
K3
AVG.333
OPS0.967
Batter vs LHP this season
139 PA · 3 HR · 0.769 OPS