DINGERDECK
MLB HR Matchup Intelligence
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BATTER
STL
PITCHER
CHC
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
NELSON
VELÁZQUEZ
VS
DAVID
PETERSON
58SOLID
CHC @ STL
0 HR/2 PA
VELÁZQUEZ
HNDRIGHT
HR4/4 vLHP
SLG%.433
Brl/PA%6.6
AVG.209
HIT/G14/30
PETERSON
LEFTHND
3/9 vRHBHR
.429SLG%
4.7Brl/PA%
5.97ERA
0.91HR/9
| CHC Pitching | ERA | WHIP | K | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP: Peterson | 11th % | 9th % | 34th % | 9th % | 76th % |
| Bullpen | 69th % | 63rd % | 63rd % | 68th % | 22nd % |
| Velázquez Batting | PA | H% | SLG | HR% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L3 vs PETERSON | 21 | 14.3% | 0.800 | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| L3 vs CHC Bullpen | 15 | 20.0% | 0.200 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| '26 vs LHP | 59 | 18.6% | 0.510 | 6.8% | 10.2% |
| '26 All Games | 76 | 18.4% | 0.433 | 5.3% | 9.2% |
Pitch Arsenal Matchup
Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward
Damage Average Suppress
SinkerUSE 29%
HR1
BA.444
SLG.778
HH%70%
wOBA.491
HR3
BA.284
SLG.474
HH%55%
wOBA.400
1
.444*
.778
70%
.491
Sinker29%
SLG vs ref · 11 PA | 145 PA
3
.284
.474
55%
.400
4-Seam FastballUSE 24%
HR2
BA.167
SLG.458
HH%62%
wOBA.320
HR1
BA.338
SLG.492
HH%27%
wOBA.397
2
.167
.458
62%
.320
4-Seam Fastball24%
SLG vs ref · 28 PA | 73 PA
1
.338
.492
27%
.397
SliderUSE 24%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.200
HH%67%
wOBA.267
HR0
BA.227
SLG.299
HH%42%
wOBA.239
0
.200*
.200
67%
.267
Slider24%
SLG vs ref · 6 PA | 100 PA
0
.227
.299
42%
.239
ChangeupUSE 12%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%50%
wOBA.000
HR0
BA.302
SLG.419
HH%29%
wOBA.370
0
.000*
.000
50%
.000
Changeup12%
SLG vs ref · 7 PA | 45 PA
0
.302
.419
29%
.370
CurveballUSE 11%
HR0
BA.333
SLG.500
HH%75%
wOBA.444
HR1
BA.289
SLG.526
HH%52%
wOBA.423
0
.333*
.500
75%
.444
Curveball11%
SLG vs ref · 8 PA | 43 PA
1
.289
.526
52%
.423
Current Season HR Splits
HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate
STL batter · CHC pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+14.8%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
2/43 · 4.7%
VenueHome/Home
4/212 · 1.9%
2/33 · 6.1%
Away/Away
5/194 · 2.6%
0/27 · 0.0%
First PitchDay/Day
2/178 · 1.1%
4/49 · 8.2%
Night/Night
7/228 · 3.1%
4/59 · 6.8%
Matchupvs L/vs L
4/126 · 3.2%
0/17 · 0.0%
vs R/vs R
5/280 · 1.8%
Avg0.3
HR1
G4
| Date | Opp | Score | AB | H | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 | @ | L 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 07/03/26 | @ | W 17-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 05/31/26 | vs | W 5-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 05/29/26 | vs | W 6-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
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Score Breakdown
Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.
Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
71/100
5.3% HR/PA on the season (4 HR in 76 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
62/100
Barrel 6.6% • HardHit 64.4%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.91 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
100/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .294 (59 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
69/100
2 HR in last 15 G (36 PA)
Batter Season
PA76
HR4
HR/PA5.3%
ISO.224
OPS0.722
Barrel%6.6%
HardHit%64.4%
Avg EV94.3 mph
Pitcher Season
IP89.0
ERA5.97
WHIP1.56
HR9
HR/90.91
K/97.48
BB/93.84
Barrel% Allowed4.7%
HardHit% Allowed43.3%
Head-to-Head
PA2
AB2
H0
HR0
BB0
K2
AVG.000
OPS0.000
Batter vs LHP this season
59 PA · 4 HR · 0.815 OPS