BATTER
STL
José Fermín
PITCHER
CHC
David Peterson
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
JOSÉ
FERMÍN
VS
DAVID
PETERSON
19FADE
CHC @ STL
0 HR/5 PA
FERMÍN
HNDRIGHT
HR2/4 vLHP
SLG%.371
Brl/PA%1.5
AVG.253
HIT/G45/69
PETERSON
LEFTHND
3/9 vRHBHR
.429SLG%
4.7Brl/PA%
5.97ERA
0.91HR/9
CHC PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Peterson11th %9th %34th %9th %76th %
Bullpen69th %63rd %63rd %68th %22nd %
Fermín BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs PETERSON1580.0%0.8000.0%0.0%
L3 vs CHC Bullpen180.0%0.0000.0%0.0%
'26 vs LHP10124.8%0.4162.0%9.9%
'26 All Games20122.4%0.3712.0%8.5%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs RHB · Batter vs LHP · Bars run from center outward

SinkerUSE 29%
HR0
BA.405
SLG.514
HH%31%
wOBA.434
HR3
BA.284
SLG.474
HH%55%
wOBA.400
4-Seam FastballUSE 24%
HR2
BA.208
SLG.415
HH%27%
wOBA.307
HR1
BA.338
SLG.492
HH%27%
wOBA.397
SliderUSE 24%
HR0
BA.211
SLG.421
HH%44%
wOBA.380
HR0
BA.227
SLG.299
HH%42%
wOBA.239
ChangeupUSE 12%
HR0
BA.227
SLG.227
HH%27%
wOBA.196
HR0
BA.302
SLG.419
HH%29%
wOBA.370
CurveballUSE 11%
HR0
BA.200
SLG.267
HH%21%
wOBA.203
HR1
BA.289
SLG.526
HH%52%
wOBA.423

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

STL batter · CHC pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/32/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+4.3%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
2/111 · 1.8%
Home/Home
4/212 · 1.9%
2/90 · 2.2%
Away/Away
5/194 · 2.6%
0/88 · 0.0%
Day/Day
2/178 · 1.1%
4/113 · 3.5%
Night/Night
7/228 · 3.1%
2/101 · 2.0%
vs L/vs L
4/126 · 3.2%
2/100 · 2.0%
vs R/vs R
5/280 · 1.8%
Avg0.0
HR0
G11
DateOppScoreABHHR
07/05/26
@
L 4-6300
07/04/26
@
W 3-0410
07/03/26
@
W 17-1520
05/31/26
vs
W 5-1300
05/29/26
vs
W 6-5420
09/28/25
@
L 0-2300
09/27/25
@
L 3-7100
09/26/25
@
L 1-12100
07/06/25
@
L 0-11110
07/04/25
@
L 3-11100
06/25/25
vs
L 0-8110
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
17/100
2.0% HR/PA on the season (4 HR in 201 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
5/100
Barrel 1.5% • HardHit 30.5%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
29/100
0.91 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
9/100
Batter ISO vs LHP: .135 (101 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .800 AVG in 5 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
35/100
Park index 100 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
26/100
1 HR in last 15 G (48 PA)

Batter Season

PA201
HR4
HR/PA2.0%
ISO.118
OPS0.689
Barrel%1.5%
HardHit%30.5%
Avg EV85.7 mph

Pitcher Season

IP89.0
ERA5.97
WHIP1.56
HR9
HR/90.91
K/97.48
BB/93.84
Barrel% Allowed4.7%
HardHit% Allowed43.3%

Head-to-Head

PA5
AB5
H4
HR0
BB0
K0
AVG.800
OPS1.600
Batter vs LHP this season
101 PA · 2 HR · 0.766 OPS