BATTER
TB
Victor Mesa Jr.
PITCHER
WSH
Cade Cavalli
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
VICTOR
MESA JR.
VS
CADE
CAVALLI
29FADE
WSH @ TB
0 HR/6 PA
MESA JR.
HNDLEFT
HR2/2 vRHP
SLG%.304
Brl/PA%5.9
AVG.174
HIT/G8/17
CAVALLI
RIGHTHND
4/6 vLHBHR
.372SLG%
5.1Brl/PA%
4.07ERA
0.70HR/9
WSH PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Cavalli51st %20th %75th %15th %87th %
Bullpen46th %36th %32nd %41st %41st %
Mesa Jr. BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs CAVALLI1618.8%0.1880.0%0.0%
L3 vs WSH Bullpen1520.0%0.2000.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP4615.2%0.3334.3%15.2%
'26 All Games5514.5%0.3043.6%14.5%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 35%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%33%
wOBA.280
HR2
BA.337
SLG.505
HH%41%
wOBA.395
CurveballUSE 29%
HR0
BA.167
SLG.167
HH%25%
wOBA.229
HR0
BA.234
SLG.325
HH%31%
wOBA.299
SinkerUSE 16%
HR0
BA.000
SLG.000
HH%0%
wOBA.140
HR0
BA.353
SLG.392
HH%50%
wOBA.397
SweeperUSE 12%
HR
BA
SLG
HH%
wOBA
HR0
BA.118
SLG.147
HH%33%
wOBA.249
ChangeupUSE 9%
HR1
BA.500
SLG.875
HH%67%
wOBA.588
HR0
BA.167
SLG.267
HH%30%
wOBA.247

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

TB batter · WSH pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 2/33/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined+6.5%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
0/22 · 0.0%
Home/Home
3/180 · 1.7%
2/33 · 6.1%
Away/Away
3/169 · 1.8%
2/33 · 6.1%
Day/Day
5/220 · 2.3%
0/22 · 0.0%
Night/Night
1/129 · 0.8%
0/9 · 0.0%
vs L/vs L
4/206 · 1.9%
2/46 · 4.3%
vs R/vs R
2/143 · 1.4%
Avg0.1
HR1
G8
DateOppScoreABHHR
06/20/26
vs
L 3-4400
09/11/25
vs
W 5-0000
09/10/25
vs
W 8-3300
09/09/25
vs
L 5-7110
09/08/25
vs
L 7-15421
09/03/25
@
L 5-10000
09/02/25
@
L 2-5200
09/01/25
@
L 0-2210
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
44/100
3.6% HR/PA on the season (2 HR in 55 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
24/100
Barrel 5.9% • HardHit 35.5%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
22/100
0.70 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
21/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .154 (46 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
25/100
0 HR, .167 AVG in 6 PA
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
32/100
Park index 99 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
28/100
1 HR in last 15 G (45 PA)

Batter Season

PA55
HR2
HR/PA3.6%
ISO.130
OPS0.600
Barrel%5.9%
HardHit%35.5%
Avg EV85.5 mph

Pitcher Season

IP77.1
ERA4.07
WHIP1.46
HR6
HR/90.70
K/99.54
BB/93.26
Barrel% Allowed5.1%
HardHit% Allowed38.9%

Head-to-Head

PA6
AB6
H1
HR0
BB0
K2
AVG.167
OPS0.333
Batter vs RHP this season
46 PA · 2 HR · 0.637 OPS