BATTER
TB
Victor Mesa Jr.
PITCHER
BAL
Brandon Young
DINGERDECK MATCHUP
VICTOR
MESA JR.
VS
BRANDON
YOUNG
52SOLID
BAL @ TB
MESA JR.
HNDLEFT
HR9/10 vRHP
SLG%.447
Brl/PA%8.4
AVG.214
HIT/G34/55
YOUNG
RIGHTHND
7/12 vLHBHR
.382SLG%
4.3Brl/PA%
3.33ERA
0.95HR/9
BAL PitchingERAWHIPKHHR
SP: Young75th %45th %33rd %43rd %69th %
Bullpen51st %60th %56th %58th %67th %
Mesa Jr. BattingPAH%SLGHR%BB%
L3 vs YOUNG0
L3 vs BAL Bullpen933.3%0.3330.0%0.0%
'26 vs RHP14618.5%0.4626.2%9.6%
'26 All Games17819.1%0.4475.6%9.0%

Pitch Arsenal Matchup

Pitcher vs LHB · Batter vs RHP · Bars run from center outward

4-Seam FastballUSE 40%
HR3
HR Rate3/67 4.5%
BA.111
SLG.278
HH%34%
wOBA.248
HR4
HR Rate4/187 2.1%
BA.195
SLG.317
HH%41%
wOBA.276
Split-FingerUSE 20%
HR0
HR Rate0/8 0.0%
BA.250
SLG.250
HH%43%
wOBA.225
HR1
HR Rate1/97 1.0%
BA.308
SLG.429
HH%48%
wOBA.336
SliderUSE 15%
HR2
HR Rate2/21 9.5%
BA.250
SLG.750
HH%36%
wOBA.421
HR1
HR Rate1/79 1.3%
BA.211
SLG.355
HH%38%
wOBA.265
SinkerUSE 14%
HR1
HR Rate1/26 3.8%
BA.304
SLG.652
HH%44%
wOBA.433
HR1
HR Rate1/86 1.2%
BA.324
SLG.486
HH%40%
wOBA.422
CurveballUSE 12%
HR0
HR Rate0/18 0.0%
BA.118
SLG.118
HH%27%
wOBA.139
HR0
HR Rate0/38 0.0%
BA.281
SLG.406
HH%28%
wOBA.324

Current Season HR Splits

HR/PA · HR rate · Green marks a current condition with the stronger rate

TB batter · BAL pitcher
Splits Bar
Batter · 1/31/3 · Pitcher
Splits
Combined−3.1%
Batter HR/PA · %
Split
Pitcher HR/PA · %
3/73 · 4.1%
Home/Home
10/272 · 3.7%
7/105 · 6.7%
Away/Away
2/215 · 0.9%
5/82 · 6.1%
Day/Day
4/168 · 2.4%
5/96 · 5.2%
Night/Night
8/319 · 2.5%
1/32 · 3.1%
vs L/vs L
7/288 · 2.4%
9/146 · 6.2%
vs R/vs R
5/199 · 2.5%
Avg0.2
HR1
G5
DateOppScoreABHHR
08/15/26
vs
L 3-4100
08/14/26
vs
L 5-6310
05/27/26
@
L 2-11210
05/26/26
@
L 1-6310
05/25/26
@
L 7-9511
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Score Breakdown

Each factor is normalized 0–100 and weighted. Sum × weight = HR Score.

Batter HR Rate
Weight 25%
77/100
5.6% HR/PA on the season (10 HR in 178 PA)
Quality of Contact
Weight 20%
41/100
Barrel 8.4% • HardHit 40.2%
Pitcher HR Vulnerability
Weight 20%
30/100
0.95 HR/9 • 12.0% HR/FB (est.)
Handedness Edge
Weight 10%
84/100
Batter ISO vs RHP: .254 (146 PA)
Head-to-Head History
Weight 10%
50/100
No prior history
Park HR Factor
Weight 10%
32/100
Park index 99 (100 = league avg)
Recent Form (L15)
Weight 5%
49/100
2 HR in last 15 G (51 PA)

Batter Season

PA178
HR10
HR/PA5.6%
ISO.233
OPS0.731
Barrel%8.4%
HardHit%40.2%
Avg EV89.6 mph

Pitcher Season

IP113.2
ERA3.33
WHIP1.32
HR12
HR/90.95
K/97.36
BB/93.25
Barrel% Allowed4.3%
HardHit% Allowed41.0%

Head-to-Head

No prior plate appearances on record.
Batter vs RHP this season
146 PA · 9 HR · 0.745 OPS